Housing market reports and forecasts

The detailed analysis of the situation on the local residential markets carried out by REAS is primarily based on the continuous monitoring of residential projects. Experts from the Market Analysis & Research team are also closely analysing data published by the Central Statistical Office, as well as macroeconomic and demographic information. Conclusions about the current condition of the market are enriched with historical context, REAS forecasts and data coming from the homebuyers’ preferences survey, compiled in co-operation with OBIDO.

The main conclusions offered by the surveys on the six biggest and therefore key markets in Poland are regularly published in the quarterly Residential Market in Poland report. Historical publications are available in the website’s Publications section.

We also offer our clients detailed and extensive reports about the residential markets in selected cities as well as analyses of selected aspects or specific issues. The scope of the requested documents can be tailored to suit the individual needs of our clients and will be discussed individually in each case.

A typical housing market report concerning one of the cities in Poland covers:

  1. Situation in the housing market environment – macroeconomic and demographic context, legislation and financial markets.
  2. Delivery and sales of new dwellings.
  3. Number of flats and houses with construction permits, whose construction has commenced and which have been commissioned for use.
  4. Flats commissioned for use, listed by type of investor.
  5. Forecast number of flats for sale (by developers and housing cooperatives), which are planned to be offered on the primary housing market.
  6. Sales of flats which are pending commissioning for use.
  7. Overview of the housing market in the entire city (relative to historical data):

1.1. Average asking prices of flats (PLN/sqm) offered on the market as at the end of the quarter (data since 2013).

1.2. Average asking prices of flats (PLN/sqm) marketed in subsequent quarters (data since 2013).

1.3. Structure of prices of flats (PLN/sqm) offered on the market as at the end of the quarter.

1.4. Structure of prices of flats (PLN/sqm) marketed in subsequent quarters.

1.5. Structure of asking prices of sold flats (PLN/sqm) in the given quarter.

1.6. Pre-sales of flats which are scheduled for commissioning for use in four consecutive half-year periods.

1.7. Quarterly sales on the primary market in the last four quarters.

1.8. Top ten developers in the city (by number of flats commissioned for use and pending commissioning in 2016–2017).

1.9. Share of completed and still unsold flats as at the end of the quarter (data since Q1 2013).

1.10. Number of flats marketed in subsequent quarters, sold and for sale as at the end of the quarter (data since Q1 2013).

  1. Forecasts, trends, recommendations – overview of the situation on the local housing market, which includes information about the number of flats marketed and sold as well as average asking prices recorded in subsequent years and offers a medium-term forecast (5 years).
  2. Comparison of the cities, comparison of the situation on the housing market in major cities in Poland, based on the following data:
  3. 1.1. Flats for sale and rent and flats owned by housing cooperatives in 2007–2014; forecast number of flats commissioned for use in 2017 on the six largest housing markets in Poland.

1.2. Number of flats on offer per 1,000 citizens in 2010–2017 on the six largest housing markets in Poland.

1.3. Average asking prices of flats marketed in the most active Polish agglomerations in 2012–2017.

1.4. Number of flats on sale compared to the total number of transactions recorded in the last four quarters.

1.5. Number of flats sold per 1,000 citizens in 2010–2016 on the six largest housing markets in Poland.

1.6. Share of the completed yet still unsold flats as at the end of the quarter.

 

Depending on the Client’s needs, the reports may include data from the secondary market or the rental market, or focus on a specific district or market segment (e.g. holiday homes, microapartments and condohotels). The advantage of REAS resulting from the many years of market research is direct access to an extensive database that allows to create dedicated surveys meeting the individual needs of clients from sectors other than development (e.g. banks, energy companies, telecoms, mobile network operators or public utilities as well as businesses providing  general residential building facilities).

Please take a moment to browse through our dictionary of basic terms that we use in our reports.

Clients